nfldraftvalue

Section 01 · Hero

Team draft value

Pundit-expected value vs. pick-slot value. Positive = team acquired players the four sources valued above their slot.


New York Jets	8	362	373	+11	+1.4
Miami Dolphins	13	398	369	-29	-2.2
Cleveland Browns	10	363	368	+5	+0.5
Las Vegas Raiders	10	317	318	+1	+0.1
New York Giants	7	314	300	-15	-2.1
Baltimore Ravens	11	273	244	-30	-2.7
Kansas City Chiefs	7	276	240	-36	-5.1
Tennessee Titans	8	268	235	-34	-4.3
Pittsburgh Steelers	10	276	234	-43	-4.3
Carolina Panthers	7	221	222	0	0.0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7	229	220	-9	-1.3
Indianapolis Colts	8	158	218	+60	+7.5
Buffalo Bills	10	215	216	0	0.0
Arizona Cardinals	7	262	212	-51	-7.3
New Orleans Saints	8	253	210	-43	-5.4
Dallas Cowboys	7	256	209	-48	-6.9
Minnesota Vikings	9	260	207	-54	-6.0
Washington Commanders	6	175	188	+13	+2.2
Chicago Bears	7	226	187	-39	-5.6
Philadelphia Eagles	8	207	183	-25	-3.1
New England Patriots	9	197	182	-17	-1.9
Los Angeles Chargers	8	215	178	-37	-4.6
Houston Texans	8	253	166	-87	-10.9
Detroit Lions	7	203	159	-45	-6.4
Cincinnati Bengals	7	159	158	-1	-0.1
Seattle Seahawks	8	180	134	-48	-6.0
Green Bay Packers	6	136	132	-4	-0.7
Jacksonville Jaguars	10	198	122	-79	-7.9
San Francisco 49ers	8	218	115	-105	-13.1
Atlanta Falcons	6	128	112	-18	-3.0
Los Angeles Rams	5	172	106	-66	-13.2
Denver Broncos	7	119	96	-24	-3.4

Section 01a · Hero chart

Pundits vs. pick-slot value

Each dot is a team. Above the diagonal = pundits valued the haul above slot (the team "won" per consensus). Below = reached.

Dashed line = market efficient · Outliers labeled · Hover any dot for details

Section 02 · Positional flow

Positional draft capital

2026 draft capital by position vs. the 2024–25 two-year average, and vs. pre-draft pundit consensus capital.


WR	1,128	36	1,046	33	+82	+8%	+3	1,062	-4
EDGE	1,084	27	859	23	+226	+26%	+4	937	-5
OT	875	22	924	23.5	-49	-5%	-1.5	765	-6
CB	762	27	913	33	-151	-16%	-6	823	-1
IDL	672	27	839	27.5	-167	-20%	-0.5	429	-6
LB	571	23	453	21	+118	+26%	+2	505	0
TE	536	21	393	13.5	+143	+36%	+7.5	382	-6
DS	533	19	417	19	+116	+28%	0	551	+2
OG	430	18	437	17	-7	-2%	+1	390	-4
RB	335	14	524	23	-189	-36%	-9	306	+2
QB	327	10	496	12	-169	-34%	-2	262	-4
OC	209	10	144	7.5	+66	+46%	+2.5	173	-5
P	16	2	14	1	+2	+14%	+1	6	-5
PK	9	1	26	2.5	-17	-65%	-1.5	4	-5
LS	0	0	4	0.5	-4	-100%	-0.5	0	—

Cap = total OFV draft capital · Pundit Cap = harmonic-mean pre-draft consensus · Median Δ Pundit = median(actual − pundit) per pick; negative = picks landed below pundit slot

Section 02A · Positional market

Position market analysis

Appraised talent value vs. price paid by position, benchmarked against the '24–'25 two-year historical average.

Appraised value (pundit)

Price paid (actual)

'24–'25 historical avg

Talent surplus vs. scarcity

Was more or less talent available than the '24–'25 norm? Appraised value vs. historical average.

← ScarcitySurplus →

+2.0%

-26.7%

-9.7%

EDGE

-18.5%

IDL

-51.4%

-41.4%

-47.2%

+70.0%

+5.7%

+32.1%

-2.8%

+33.3%

-84.6%

-50.0%

Market premium vs. discount

Did teams overpay or underpay for the talent? Price paid vs. appraised value.

← PremiumDiscount →

+5.7%

+15.4%

-7.5%

EDGE

+25.1%

IDL

+49.5%

+9.1%

+24.8%

+9.2%

+10.8%

-3.3%

+40.3%

+15.1%

+125.0%

+128.6%

Positions sorted left → right by historical draft capital. Appraised = sum of pundit-expected OFV · Price = sum of pick-expected OFV · Left panel: 2026 talent pool vs. two-year norm · Right panel: team discipline vs. the available talent.

Section 02

Draft results

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1	1	Las Vegas Raiders	Fernando Mendoza	QB	Indiana	100	97	-3
1	2	New York Jets	David Bailey	LB	Texas Tech	99	94	-5
1	3	Arizona Cardinals	Jeremiyah Love	RB	Notre Dame	97	99	+2
1	4	Tennessee Titans	Carnell Tate	WR	Ohio State	96	75	-21
1	5	New York Giants	Arvell Reese	LB	Ohio State	95	97	+2
1	6	Kansas City Chiefs	Mansoor Delane	CB	LSU	94	91	-3
1	7	Washington Commanders	Sonny Styles	LB	Ohio State	93	97	+4
1	8	New Orleans Saints	Jordyn Tyson	WR	Arizona State	91	85	-6
1	9	Cleveland Browns	Spencer Fano	T	Utah	90	90	0
1	10	New York Giants	Francis Mauigoa	G	Miami (FL)	89	75	-14
1	11	Dallas Cowboys	Caleb Downs	S	Ohio State	88	92	+4
1	12	Miami Dolphins	Kadyn Proctor	T	Alabama	87	74	-13
1	13	Los Angeles Rams	Ty Simpson	QB	Alabama	85	46	-39
1	14	Baltimore Ravens	Vega Ioane	G	Penn State	84	81	-3
1	15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Rueben Bain Jr.	DE	Miami (FL)	83	90	+7
1	16	New York Jets	Kenyon Sadiq	TE	Oregon	82	85	+3
1	17	Detroit Lions	Blake Miller	T	Clemson	81	74	-7
1	18	Minnesota Vikings	Caleb Banks	DE	Florida	80	38	-42
1	19	Carolina Panthers	Monroe Freeling	T	Georgia	79	80	+1
1	20	Philadelphia Eagles	Makai Lemon	WR	USC	78	84	+6
1	21	Pittsburgh Steelers	Max Iheanachor	T	Arizona State	77	58	-19
1	22	Los Angeles Chargers	Akheem Mesidor	LB	Miami (FL)	76	71	-5
1	23	Dallas Cowboys	Malachi Lawrence	DE	UCF	74	43	-31
1	24	Cleveland Browns	KC Concepcion	WR	Texas A&M	73	64	-9
1	25	Chicago Bears	Dillon Thieneman	S	Oregon	72	80	+8
1	26	Houston Texans	Keylan Rutledge	G	Georgia Tech	71	47	-24
1	27	Miami Dolphins	Chris Johnson	CB	San Diego State	70	66	-4
1	28	New England Patriots	Caleb Lomu	T	Utah	69	69	0
1	29	Kansas City Chiefs	Peter Woods	DT	Clemson	68	60	-8
1	30	New York Jets	Omar Cooper Jr.	WR	Indiana	67	72	+5
1	31	Tennessee Titans	Keldric Faulk	DE	Auburn	66	73	+7
1	32	Seattle Seahawks	Jadarian Price	RB	Notre Dame	66	42	-24
2	33	San Francisco 49ers	De'Zhaun Stribling	WR	Ole Miss	65	34	-31
2	34	Arizona Cardinals	Chase Bisontis	G	Texas A&M	64	55	-9
2	35	Buffalo Bills	T. J. Parker	DE	Clemson	63	65	+2
2	36	Houston Texans	Kayden McDonald	DT	Ohio State	62	41	-21
2	37	New York Giants	Colton Hood	CB	Tennessee	61	69	+8
2	38	Las Vegas Raiders	Treydan Stukes	S	Arizona	60	49	-11
2	39	Cleveland Browns	Denzel Boston	WR	Washington	59	68	+9
2	40	Kansas City Chiefs	R Mason Thomas	DE	Oklahoma	58	30	-28
2	41	Cincinnati Bengals	Cashius Howell	DE	Texas A&M	58	55	-3
2	42	New Orleans Saints	Christen Miller	DT	Georgia	57	37	-20
2	43	Miami Dolphins	Jacob Rodriguez	LB	Texas Tech	56	58	+2
2	44	Detroit Lions	Derrick Moore	DE	Michigan	55	25	-30
2	45	Baltimore Ravens	Zion Young	OLB	Missouri	54	39	-15
2	46	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Josiah Trotter	LB	Missouri	53	25	-28
2	47	Pittsburgh Steelers	Germie Bernard	WR	Alabama	53	46	-7
2	48	Atlanta Falcons	Avieon Terrell	CB	Clemson	52	51	-1
2	49	Carolina Panthers	Lee Hunter	DT	Texas Tech	51	38	-13
2	50	New York Jets	D'Angelo Ponds	CB	Indiana	50	61	+11

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Section 03

Combined rankings

Players flagged with a coral edge show ≥30 OFV spread across the four sources — divergent evaluator views.

354 of 354


1	JEREMIYAH LOVE	RB	ND	1	3	2	1	100	97	99	100	99
2	SONNY STYLES	LB	OSU	3	4	4	2	97	96	96	99	97
3	FERNANDO MENDOZA	QB	IND	4	1	3	5	96	100	97	95	97
4	ARVELL REESE	EDGE	OSU	2	2	1	10	99	99	100	89	97
5	DAVID BAILEY	EDGE	TTU	6	6	7	5	94	94	93	95	94
6	CALEB DOWNS	DS	OSU	5	8	5	10	95	91	95	89	92
7	MANSOOR DELANE	CB	LSU	8	9	6	10	91	90	94	89	91
8	SPENCER FANO	OT	UTAH	11	12	8	4	88	87	91	96	90
9	RUEBEN BAIN JR.	EDGE	MIA	12	5	9	10	87	95	90	89	90
10	KENYON SADIQ	TE	ORE	18	14	16	3	80	84	82	97	85
11	JORDYN TYSON	WR	ASU	10	19	20	5	89	79	78	95	85
12	MAKAI LEMON	WR	USC	14	15	13	15	84	83	85	83	84
13	Vega Ioane	OG	PSU	13	16	12	26	85	82	87	71	81
14	DILLON THIENEMAN	DS	ORE	15	11	18	26	83	88	80	71	80
15	MONROE FREELING	OT	UGA	22	13	17	20	76	85	81	78	80
16	JERMOD MCCOY	CB	TENN	33	17	14	20	65	81	84	78	76
17	CARNELL TATE	WR	OSU	7	10	10	52	93	89	89	49	75
18	FRANCIS MAUIGOA	OT	MIA	9	7	11	52	90	93	88	49	75
19	KADYN PROCTOR	OT	ALA	16	27	19	30	82	70	79	67	74
20	BLAKE MILLER	OT	CLEM	21	25	29	20	77	72	68	78	74
21	EMMANUEL MCNEIL-WARREN	DS	TOL	34	21	23	18	64	77	74	80	73
22	KELDRIC FAULK	EDGE	AUB	19	22	15	39	79	76	83	59	73
23	OMAR COOPER JR.	WR	IND	24	24	22	30	73	73	76	67	72
24	AKHEEM MESIDOR	EDGE	MIA	17	20	28	39	81	78	69	59	71
25	CALEB LOMU	OT	UTAH	27	38	25	20	70	60	72	78	69
26	COLTON HOOD	CB	TENN	29	34	30	18	68	64	67	80	69
27	DENZEL BOSTON	WR	WASH	20	31	26	39	78	66	71	59	68
28	CHRIS JOHNSON	CB	SDSU	26	46	24	26	71	53	73	71	66
29	T. J. Parker	EDGE	CLEM	31	29	31	39	66	68	66	59	65
30	KC CONCEPCION	WR	TAMU	23	35	21	52	74	63	77	49	64
31	D'ANGELO PONDS	CB	IND	45	43	38	20	54	56	60	78	61
32	PETER WOODS	IDL	CLEM	32	33	35	52	66	65	63	49	60
33	JACOB RODRIGUEZ	LB	TTU	37	45	40	39	61	54	58	59	58
34	MAX IHEANACHOR	OT	ASU	28	30	33	64	69	67	65	41	58
35	EMMANUEL PREGNON	OG	ORE	41	36	57	26	58	62	45	71	57
36	BRANDON CISSE	CB	SCAR	50	41	45	30	50	58	54	67	57
37	JAKE GOLDAY	LB	CIN	39	59	48	15	59	44	52	83	56
38	CASHIUS HOWELL	EDGE	TAMU	38	26	39	64	60	71	59	41	55
39	CHASE BISONTIS	OG	TAMU	52	48	34	39	49	52	64	59	55
40	CHRIS BELL	WR	LOU	55	44	47	30	47	55	53	67	55
41	CJ ALLEN	LB	UGA	46	18	46	64	53	80	53	41	54
42	GABE JACAS	EDGE	ILL	42	51	49	52	57	50	51	49	52
43	AVIEON TERRELL	CB	CLEM	47	23	27	79	53	74	70	32	51
44	ELI STOWERS	TE	VAND	59	53	63	9	44	48	41	90	51
45	TREYDAN STUKES	DS	ARIZ	36	61	56	52	62	43	46	49	49
46	KEYLAN RUTLEDGE	OG	GT	40	74	62	30	58	35	42	67	47
47	A. J. Haulcy	DS	LSU	68	52	70	10	38	49	37	89	47
48	GERMIE BERNARD	WR	ALA	48	49	41	79	52	51	58	32	46
49	TY SIMPSON	QB	ALA	25	42	42	95	72	57	57	26	46
50	ANTHONY HILL JR.	LB	TEX	67	86	50	20	39	29	50	78	43

Showing 50 of 354

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